After previewing the American League, it's time to see how the National League stacks up! In case you missed the AL, see the prior blog post for their ratings and some info on this.
Kenesaw Mountain Landis HBD Blog
Monday, August 25, 2025
Season 24 - NL Team Power Index Ratings
Friday, August 22, 2025
Season 24 - AL Team Power Index Ratings
- This is still a work-in-progress. The same team might get a different rating in a future year if I've updated any assumptions.
- The model will produce numbers based on a neutral park. Thus, teams in pitchers parks will likely outperform my model's pitching expectations and similarly a team in a hitters park will likely outperform my model's hitting expectations.
- I don't have fielding done yet, but that's something I would like to include in the future.
- I haven't yet differentiated starting pitchers from relief pitchers. Stamina doesn't matter in my model.
- My model seems to be harder on hitters than pitchers, and it's something I need to investigate more.
- Please don't ask me for my model parameters. I may share more info about it later, but not right now :)
Tuesday, August 19, 2025
HOF Candidates for Season 24
Should Be A Lock
Probably Makes It
Could Go Either Way
Good Stats But Lacking Accolades
My votes:
Tuesday, August 12, 2025
Proposed New Penalties for the MWR
For this post, I would like to talk about the existing Minimum Win Requirement (MWR) penalties and what I think would be a better solution going forward. Note, this post is not intended to call out anyone for the past. Rather, I just want to explain how things have been done in the past, and how I'd like to do things going forward.
First let's talk about the history - why do we have the MWR? I've been in KML since its inception, and for the first 15 seasons we didn't have a MWR rule. We really didn't need it because teams that had bad years generally bounced back within a couple seasons. Around season 10, there were a few teams that stayed bad for 3+ seasons with win totals under 60 each year. That led to some animosity with a select group of owners, throwing out the dreaded "T word" (tanking). Thus, in season 15 we established the current required MWR rules: a ML team must win 180 games over 3 seasons and cannot win fewer than 55 games in consecutive seasons or the owner will not be invited back.
Why hasn't this been enforced? I took over as commissioner in Season 16 rather abruptly. The old commissioner, Jperiodj had unfortunately disappeared for over a week when we were trying to fill the world, so I stepped in unexpectedly. We had already lost some owners, so I didn't want to disrupt things by enforcing the MWR. This has caused some teams to skirt by without punishment. However, I think only one team has been truly uncompetitive to the detriment of the league and that owner left on his own accord this season.
I don't see any issues with the current group of owners, but I still think we need to enforce MWR rules so that we keep a competitive balance within the league. However, I'm not a fan of removing owners, so I would like to revise the punishment for missing the MWR.
- Missing the 3-year, 180 win rule will require an owner to not exceed a prospect budget of $15 million for the following season. This cannot be exceeded even via a transfer of money from one of the other budgets.
- Missing the consecutive seasons of 55 wins will require an owner to not exceed a prospect budget of $8 million for the following season. This cannot be exceeded even via a transfer of money from one of the other budgets.
- If an owner exceeds their set Prospect budget, they will be warned to transfer money out of their Prospect budget until they reach the required threshold. If they have already spent more money on prospects than would be allowed, they must release prospects in the amount they exceeded their required budget. For example, if a team spent $16 million on prospects and had a maximum budget of $15 million, they must release a prospect for which they spent at least $1 million to sign said prospect, or any combination of prospects that would add up to $1 million while also not hurting their minor league squad. If this is not done then the owner will not be invited back for the following season.
Friday, August 1, 2025
World Series 23 Preview
Philadelphia Unionvs
Baltimore Crab Cakes
Friday, June 20, 2025
Season 1 Draft Review
- 2x All Star, 1x Silver Slugger 2B
- Blanco was a dependable 3B who excelled against left handed pitching, but was wasn't as successful against righties. He finished his career with 1,546 hits, 246 HRs, 769 RBIs and a slash line of 0.263/0.334/0.439. A pretty good player overall, but definitely taken too high at #1 overall.
- 3x All Star, 2x Gold Glove P
- Was an All Star in Season 6 and then had a 12-year gap between his next two All Star appearances
- He was traded twice in the early part of his career, including for HOF candidate Chadd Kendrick. Almora was a very dependable SP for Iowa City for 13 seasons and won 192 games in his career to the tune of a 3.55 ERA. He also struck out 2,581 batters for his career. A fairly solid pick at #2.
- Leuis did not sign, and Norfolk did not receive a Type D pick. It's very likely that Norfolk was in win-now mode, having a player budget of $125M and a prospect budget of only $6M. It almost worked out for them as they made it to the World Series, but they ultimately fell to Seattle in 7 games. They didn't sign any picks from the first 10 rounds of this draft.
- 6x All Star, 1x Gold Glove C, 1x HRD Champ
- With the #4 pick, Toronto found a catcher that would be on their roster for 14 seasons in Grieve. He would play two more seasons elsewhere to to finish a very solid career. He amassed 1,760 hits, 369 HRs, 1,061 RBIs with a slash line of 0.288/0.351/0.514. He also threw out 36% of stolen base attempts for his career, showing his prowess on both offense and defense. Grieve turned out to be a great pick for Toronto at #4.
- 1x All Star
- Simms spent six seasons with the Cincinnati/Salt Lake City franchise before getting released and moving on to a couple other teams. He was a serviceable pitcher for his career, finishing with just over 100 wins and a 4.26 ERA in a 12-year career.
- 1x All Star
- Azocar started his 12-year career with Jackson, and that's where he had most of his success with three sub-4 ERA seasons and played in his only All Star game. He was traded in his 5th year in the majors and he was never the same. He would only once achieve a sub-4 ERA (3.99) in his remaining seasons, and finished his career with a 4.56 ERA.
- 4x All Star, 3x Silver Slugger 3B, Hit for the Cycle x2
- Ahmad Barney was a solid all around 3B for Houston for several seasons, and was part of their championship winning team in Season 7. He was an All Star for 4 straight seasons (6-9) and won his 3 Silver Slugger awards during that stretch. He spent the final 5 years of his 13-season career with other teams. He wasn't as successful there, but his OPS never dropped below 0.730 for any individual season. His final slash line was 0.274/0.339/0.495 with 1,741 hits and 347 HRs. Houston got tremendous value with this pick.
- 3x All Star, 1x Fireman of the Year
- He's lacking in accolades, but James Bergen was a fantastic reliever for several teams. In a little over 1,400 IP, Bergen struck out 1,295 batters and finished his career with a 1.15 WHIP and 3.13 ERA. Charlotte was the team that allowed Bergen to win awards by using him exclusively as a closer, and he made the all star team for three straight seasons. Another tremendous value pick, given how effective Bergen was his entire career.
- No awards
- Jordan was traded to Kansas City before making it to the majors and spent half of his career there. He never put up fantastic numbers, but was good enough to pitch for 14 seasons with a 4.28 ERA.
- 1x All Star
- Kramer played for 7 different teams in a 9-year career, and he had some ups and downs in that time. His best season came in Season 14 when current day Chicago got a fantastic showing from Kramer leading to his only All Star game. He finished his career with a 4.86 ERA, winning 65 games and losing 67.
- No awards
- Rojas was a decent hitter, but never had an OPS over 0.800 in his career, finishing with a career slash line of 0.265/0.327/0.391.
- Espinosa ended up not signing, and Austin received a Type D pick in the Season 2 draft
- 1x Gold Glove 3B
- Kluber was known for his glove rather than his bat as his career slash line was a meager 0.253/0.308/0.377. He was definitely a plus defender who only won one Gold Glove award, but could have managed to win more in the right seasons.
- Rookie of the Year, 1x All Star
- In his rookie year, Alvin Manship was 18-9 with a 3.12 ERA winning Rookie of the Year and making the All Star team. That was his best year though as he failed to replicate that success for his entire career. That being said, his final numbers weren't too shabby, finishing with a 4.29 ERA and nearly 1,800 strikeouts. There is just some disappointment given how it started for him.
- No awards
- Trammell played a tough position to win awards, but he had pretty solid numbers for his entire career. He had just over 2,000 hits and 359 HRs for his career with a final OPS of 0.806.
- Foulke never made it to the majors and is still swinging in the Arizona AAA system at 40 years young.
- No awards
- Franklin never had an ERA better than 4.34 and finished with a career ERA of 5.26, but he managed to keep getting roles with teams as he played for 11 seasons in the majors.
- James ended up not signing, and Seattle received a Type D pick in the Season 2 draft
- Craig ended up not signing, and Portland received a Type D pick in the Season 2 draft
- No awards
- Bowman spent 5 seasons in the majors after spending 11 seasons in the minors. Good enough to play 3B, but probably overmatched at SS, he lacked the offense or defense to really stick around in the majors.
- No Hitter
- Gagne finished with a career ERA of 5.51 but somehow managed to throw a no hitter. Go figure.
- No awards
- Ducey spent his entire career with Jackson, finishing with a slash line of 0.263/0.329/0.471. He played most of his career in RF where he had 1 "+" play and 54 "-" plays. His defense could have been better, but his offense was good enough to overcome that when he did play.
- Similar to pick #3, Norfolk did not sign pick #23
- No awards
- Tresh played most of his career at 3B where he had 1 "+" play to 33 "-" plays. He was better served to play RF, but his offense really didn't justify it. He finished with a career slash line of 0.257/0.320/0.425.
- No awards
- Only pitched 97 innings in the majors with an 8.48 ERA.
- No awards
- Similar to Jarred Tresh, Mays was not good enough offensively to play RF and not good enough defensively to play 3B. He finished his career with just 722 hits and 98 HRs and a slash line of 0.256/0.311/0.410.
- 1x All Star, 1x Silver Slugger RF, Hit for the Cycle
- Sam Richard carved out a really solid career and was good value at pick #27. He finished his career with 1,849 hits and 438 HRs. He managed to receive some recognition late in his career with an All Star appearance in Season 14 and a Silver Slugger award in Season 16.
- Played 16 years in the minors but never made it to the bigs.
- No awards
- Greene spent almost his entire career with Chicago and put up respectable numbers for the majority of his career. In 1,500 IP, Greene won 75 games with an ERA of 4.34. All things considered, a pretty solid pick for Chicago late in the 1st round.
- Cortez only played 5 seasons for the minors before retiring. It looks like he was stuck in High-A, and it's a shame because he definitely should have made it to the majors as a defensive utility player. When he retired, Cortez had a speed rating of 99 and baserunning rating of 76, as well as a contact of 91, so he definitely would have found use on some teams.
- No awards
- He had all but 3 ABs in his 7-year major league career with Texas. He was out of his depth at 2B, but his offense was pretty solid, finishing his career with an OPS of 0.772.
- No awards
- Best known for his power, the last pick of the 1st round was Cesar Benitez who played for 13 seasons in the majors finishing with 359 HRs and a final slash line of 0.246/0.313/0.486.
- McCorley spent 12 seasons in the majors, playing the majority of his career. He started 269 games and appeared out of the bullpen in another 154. His career ERA was an unimpressive 4.73, but he managed to do well enough to hang around the majors for awhile.
- Never known for his bat, Hellickson was an excellent defender who finished his career with 66 "+" plays at SS to 1 "-" play. He would win one Gold Glove at 3B later in his career.
- Mostly a platoon hitter, Perkins had a pretty good career finishing with a career OBP of 0.348 and 1,034 hits.
- The college senior was drafted but didn't sign with Montreal. The following offseason, he signed with Fargo. He mostly stuck in the minors until Charlotte traded for him in Season 8, where he spent the next 7 seasons. He finished with 949 hits, 250 HRs, and a career OPS of 0.804. Not bad for the 131st pick who was not a DITR.
- Only pitched 732 innings in his 8-year career, but Mays finished his career with a respectable 3.69 ERA.
- In his 8-year career, Jacquez pitched 1,140 innings with an ERA of 4.33. Not bad for a 12th round pick.
- Augusta never gave him a chance, but after becoming a Rule 5 draft pick, Workman managed to pitch 10 years in the majors. However, I'm not sure why as he had a 5.02 ERA.
Tuesday, May 20, 2025
HOF Candidates for Season 23
In Season 22, there were a lot of strong candidates that were deserving of the HOF, but only two former Seattle players managed to reach the necessary votes to be enshrined. A season later, there's even more competition. Let's break down some of the top candidates for Season 23:
Should Be A Lock
Jose Terrero - A 3-time Cy Young champion, Jose Terrero was one of the aces for the Toledo Bend and was a big reason why they won two World Series in a three-year span. He only won one of his Cy Young awards there, but manged to win two more in Charlotte/Augusta in a very competitive American League (think all the Seattle pitchers). Terrero is currently 4th all time in strikeouts (although he's going to be passed by Cookie Figaro in the first month of the regular season), has a career 3.17 ERA and made it to 8 All Star Games in his career. He has the best resume of anyone up for the HOF and should be a lock in his first year of eligibility.
Probably Makes It
Aramis Cortazar - He doesn't have quite the resume that Jose Terrero does, but Aramis Cortazar was still an excellent pitcher that is likely destined for the HOF. He is 4th all time in wins (274), a 6-time All Stat, and has 3 Cy Young awards to his name. His ERA isn't as impressive as you would like for a HOF pitcher (3.51), but when he was on his game, he was one of the best in the league. I'll be curious to see if his ERA holds him back, but I think he will get into the HOF either this year or in the future thanks to those wins and Cy Youngs.
Could Go Either Way
Joakim Fernandez - A long-time Seattle player, Fernandez has the award history you would expect from a hall of famer. He won AL Rookie of the Year in Season 5, appeared in 9 all star games, was a silver slugger winner 5 times, and won 2 gold gloves in LF. He doesn't have an MVP award which I think puts him a notch below being a lock, but he does have 2,404 hits and 489 HRs for his career history, and his numbers likely would have been more impressive in a more hitter friendly ballpark.
Trey Munro - I think I am a little bit higher on Trey Munro than most, but I think he should be in the HOF. Unfortunately for him, he hasn't gotten the votes needed in his first few years of eligibility. Early in his career, he didn't play on some of the best teams and I think that affected his numbers. He really hit his stride when he signed with Charlotte in Season 9. That's where had had 4 of his 5 all star appearances, won his only Cy Young and threw his only No Hitter. He finished his career with an ERA of 3.12 and is 2nd all time in strikeouts with 3,063. He is also 3rd all time in quality starts with 340 despite only starting 500 games for his career.
Chadd Kendrick - Kendrick is someone that I and some others have overlooked, but I think he deserves consideration for the HOF. His 536 saves are 5th all time, and he finished his career with a staggering 2.19 ERA which is 2nd all time, only to the great Cookie Figaro. His .907 save percentage is the best of all qualified pitchers in league history. He is also a 10x all star and a 4x Fireman of the Year. The only knock on him is his innings pitched, as he had only 915 for his career, but he was dominant in those innings. Considering how hard it is for a closer to win Cy Young, I think he has done enough to get the nod for the HOF.
Charles Payton - Another player that some may have overlooked, Payton has come close to the HOF getting 11 votes a couple years ago and 12 votes last year, but hasn't gotten over the hump yet. He has a career slash line of 0.308/0.376/0.537 along with 2,458 hits and 461 HRs. He won Rookie of the Year, was an all star 7 times, silver slugger 5 times, and won 2 MVP awards. He did have the benefit of playing in some hitters parks such as Toronto and Texas, but his numbers are still good enough to warrant consideration for the HOF.
Sean Turner - Despite playing over half his career in Seattle, Sean Turner's numbers were very good for playing so many games in a pitcher's ballpark. He finished with 547 HRs. 2,285 hits, and a career 0.886 OPS. He was also a 3x silver slugger, 2x all star and most impressively, a 2x MVP.
Livan Guerrero - Another excellent reliever, Livan Guerrero is the all time saves leader with 691. He also has a whopping 10 all star game appearances and 6 Fireman of the Year awards. He also has two seasons pre-merger, so it's very possible/likely he has over 700 saves for his career. The knock however is on his ERA which finished at 3.80. Thus, I have to put Kendrick over him in terms of closers, but Guerrero is someone I could see making the HOF in the future.
Socrates Russell - Of all the hitters up for the HOF this season, no one has a better career OBP or OPS than Socrates Russell. Russell had a career 0.399 OBP, thanks to his world leading 1,366 walks and he hit the impressive 500 HR mark. He was mostly a C/DH in his career and won 5 Silver Slugger awards. His hit total (2,094) isn't as high as some of the other candidates on this list, but he still deserves consideration for his other excellent offensive numbers.
Jimmie Pena - A good all around player, Jimmie Pena was a home run machine (578, tied for 5th all time), but also was a solid defender (3x Gold Glove winner). He only made it to 3 All Star games, so it will be interesting to see how much the voters like his HR numbers, which were helped later in his career playing in New York.
Good Stats But Lacking Accolades
Peter Donald - A pitcher who falls firmly into the polarizing category, Peter Donald was a strikeout machine, but his ERA was lacking. He's the world's all time leader in strikeouts with 3,243 and his 265 wins are currently 5th all time, but his ERA barely starts with a 3, at 3.99. Despite that ERA, he has the most quality starts in league history with 374, so when he was on he was hard to hit. However, he had only 3 all star games to his resume, and no other awards. I think if he managed to win a Cy Young or two, he would be a lock, but it's hard for me to see him make the HOF with an almost-4 ERA.
Del Matsumoto - He is 3rd all time in saves with 596, has 6 all star games and 1 Fireman of the Year award along with a 2.91 ERA for his career. I debated putting him in the either way category, but I felt like the other closers on this list were more deserving based on their award history.
My votes:
- Jose Terrero
- Aramis Cortazar
- Trey Munro
- Chadd Kendrick
- Joakim Fernandez
Season 24 - NL Team Power Index Ratings
After previewing the American League, it's time to see how the National League stacks up! In case you missed the AL, see the prior blog...
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With the Amateur Draft having just finished, I was curious about how some historical draft classes have fared, and what changes would have o...